Zombie Attack Strength

Please see: http://dl.dropbox.com/u/11690/HordeSizeAnalysis.pdf for an analysis of the horde attack size and range. For the word/math impaired, scroll to table 2. The analysis done for this report has a huge advantage over the data reported via LSM regression and other Excel/Minitab methods. We were able to obtain a linear transformation of the data with a constant variance under our analysis. Not only does regression on linear data provide a better fit with more robust outcomes, it also allows us to determine variance and, by extension, TL (a range in which 95% of attacks will fall).

Also, our analysis suggests a possible cyclic pattern on days seperated by an interval of 4(c) where c is any non-zero postive whole number. This may mean that the spikes and lulls experinced by towns ARE NOT random and ARE predictable given enough data and analysis. I am looking into doing further time series analysis on this dataset, however, it will be some time before I complete it. -Iacobus

List the strength of actual attacks in order to gather empirical data.

These data have been compiled into a zombie attack projections and LSM regression line graph:

Projections as of 16/12/2010

TIP: You can open Gazette and look at the history. At the start of each day the first line will describe the attack for the previous day.

'An "X" indicates that that was the day the town died.
'A * behind the town name indicates it's a distant town(100+ soul points)

A - is unrecorded

Day Number is the day preceding the attack - the attack size appears in the following day's Gazette. E.g. Day 8's attack will appear in Day 9's Gazette.

Town Name	Day 1	Day 2	Day 3	Day 4	Day 5	Day 6	Day 7	Day 8	Day 9	Day 10	Day 11	Day 12	Day 13	Day 14	Day 15	Day16	Day17	Day18	Day19	Day20	Day21	Day22	Day23	Day24	Day25	Day26
Refuge of Ghouls	29	-	-	-	-	-	416	651	-	901	1282	1097
*Fossilized Gang of Evil	22	44	122	131	183	254	452	568	589	780	979	901	915	1128	1479	1643	1568	1922	2419	2413	2686	3233-3488	2925-3150
Backward Hope of the Hairy Snake*	27	126	83	109	205	330	353	538	567	838	789	1027	1153	1500	1366	1583	1951	1786	2331	1966	2503	3825	X 2875-3075
Tombs of Madness	25	45	78	211	194	251	364
Hotel of Aching Stomachs	24	54	139	164	144	303	409	481	834	686	X
Gigantic athenaeum of miracles (12-12-10)	29	97	81	131	180	322	348	464	529
Perverted marina	29	77
Muddy Hillside of Dread	22	44	116
The Port of Temptation	26	82	86	209	200	416	314	599
The Lighthouse of Lost Hope	29	74	72	160	212
Broken Den of Shadows	26	27	107	159	242	242	383	480	613	611	X
Pale Caverns of Birds	24	58	65	92	237	273	344	501	589	739	927
Pits of Hunger	25	84	86	173	160	450
Somber Village	21	46	80	150	231	217	408	460	625	X
The Plaine of the Damned	22	26	124	126	229	240	290	455-505
The Gangrenous Basements	22	25	80	158	300	X
Macabre pueblo	22	39	57	148	236	316	384	447	801
Crimson Centre of Dreams	25	72	119	99	217	296	426	493	468	821	662
Buried sanitorium of Dayan	26	44	121	227		X
Infected Junctions	23	53	90	226	172	352	405	576	597	823-852	X
The Soulful Park	21	31	97
Brutal Woods	20	42	105	136	298
Downs of the Ancient Arts	26	39	55
Cemetary of rage	29	88	73	120	185	346	282
Fierce Chamber	22	39	67	129	249	283	474
Quaint Foothills of Cyclops	28	47	127	133	256	262	460-570
Superior grave of hunger	29	55	113	123	224	387	472	473	512	685	905	817	916	1225-1420
Dusty Junction of Criminals	24	57	134	96	170	354	440	551	598	745-830
Revolting Crossroads	25	48
Itching Hill of the Crazed	27	95
Gang of Miracles	7	80	66	111	173	369	450
The Colonies without Purpose	21	48	52	160	246	270	422
The cartels without future	21	88
The Highlands Of Sadists	29	74	85	101	195	406	357	479	555	1003	796	890	902	1075	1474	1400	1550	X
The Hellish Camp of Corpses	22	55	116	172	248	339	333	503
Bloody Battlements of Anguish	33
Mysterious Lands of the Headless	28	31	71	240	157	259	437
Mountaintop Without End	22	59	80	136	275	226
Stream of the Headless	28	52	52	160	338	285	299	413	570
Sweaty theatre	?	?	69
The Chairn of Earthquakes	28	25	138	164	164	316
Morose dunes of the burned	24	35	98	121	262	300
Fossilized colonies	26	29	149	131	275
Flat roads of crime	22	39	147	124	149	270	549	461	574	718	825-1175
Land of corpses	23	65	151	228	211	266	410	540	449	642	890-1230
Sweaty Fell of Hades	26
Honorable Holes	26	42	61	162	286	290	408-439
Well of Ravens	23	90 +2	71+4	116+7	158+7	291+7	461+8	364+9	667+10	686+12	1003+12	X
Humid Corridors	25	94	110	121	171	317	370	502	585	852
The Enclave of Lepers	25	64	64
The Tombs of the Headless	26
The Mound of Autumn	28	29	68	119	266	269
Broken Desert	20
Sinister Theaters	21	49	74	214	195	318	402	725-775
Vengeful masses of dying flesh	20	37	126	131	306	222	530	381	690	804	1142	1082	995	1302	1347	1384	1961
Greenish spaces of Innocents	36	70
Throbbing Fort of Strings	27	93	66	127	153	X
Screaming Mines of Puss	26	26	111	125
The Nostalgic Hamlet	24	42	81	113
The Shadowy Fell	21	33	61	175
Battered frontier of murderers					251
Lands of 1000 Deaths	26	29	124	127	198	232	380	388	495	599	1132	802	1164	1008
Macabre Park of Dying Flesh	23	40	136	140	218	321	610	528	531	691	922	833	985-1040
Psychotic Lands	21
Menacing dunes	22	34	122	143	277	324	344	502	734
Mass of madness	23	139+9	90+12	118+13
Savage Pits of Bacteria							670	411	X
Cloudy Plantation of Maniacs	22	52	65	112	223	225	339	418	827	592	913	745	949	1061	1268	1696
Beastly structures	25	57
The Dregs of Corpses	29	49	91	214	162	230	279
Hill of Birds	23	26	61	238	258	264	361	449	647	800	868	989	1062	1340-1650
Highlands of Lost Souls	27	63	76	124
Dam Of Crime	29	39	63	158	213	?
Steppes of Fire	20	24	176	132	210	238	465	585	587
Shaft of Tricks	21	139	94	121	198	375	401
Knoll of No Tomorrow	22
Marina of Hordes	28	39	94
Crack Mountain	25	61	88	135	349	185-305
Stormy Trench	27	57	76	138	217	291	359	636-660	475-625
Arcane Hospital	24	59	208	143	143	246	450-515
Forts of the Lost	26	40	96	X
Hope of the Raven King	24	60	150
Morbid Regions of the Headless*	23	77	76	133	163	345	368	391	542	685	675	1105	1200	1317	1531	1359	1822-1929
The Valleys of Dead Rabbits	24
Space of Satan	21	105	87
Citadelle of Bloodlust	26	47	76	102	338	296	465-555
Mounds of Knives	26	36	113	118	275	263	506	365	765	749	735	945	X
River of Corpses	22	37	87	135	234	240	508
Crooked Pits	29	84	82	109	161	300	322	426	585	950	670	1061	996	1157
Strange Pampas	22	39	81
The Flat Reservoires	28	33	140	118	244	280	410	477	472	746
Icy Cliffe of Howls	20	32	69	101	345-369
Nasty streets of the curved eel	28	40	67	114	238	332	401	422	763	688	906
The Red Precipice	25	59	106	130	181	284	307	676-715
Colosseum of Satan	26	29	116	97
Frightful hell of the beast	29	83	67	117	166	412	314	584	489	720	669	926	898
The Village of New Hope	20	43	77	X
Isolated Headland of No Evil	23	35	91	242	131	339	412	635	644	709	1019	929	1136	1030	1351	1610-1790
Paralysed crevice of earthquakes	27	78	54
Sad Tomb of the Headless	22	44	66	128	276	321	319	X
Pits of nights without end	23	88	66	145	176	362	385	372	600	692	950	X
Outdated islands without purpose	27	98	128	131	158	357	418
Strange hillside	29	108	[30th Dec]
The Noisy Desert	26	45	X
The Lands of Lightning	21	95	110	122	224	318	392	656	557	822	779-826
Dull dunes	29	57	1st Jan
Tortuous Plantation Without End	21	30	83	185	167	379	407	545	560	732	754	1067	1148	1339	1312
The Barbaric Centre	28	36	181	136	182	264	631	430	660
The Grounds of the Headless	25	31	107	182	166	264	376	475	594	600	831	1022	1104	1000
Odd wood of deathly screams	21	82	83	110	184	311	399	574	541	817	760	977
Isolated Cemetary of Temptation	28	26	106	159	377	282	334	432	604	602	X
The disturbed plaine*	22	55	99	125	295	243	306	458	662	751	647	1068	956	1263	1238	1562	2000	2176	2094	2630	2140	2560	3500	3091	3978	4145-4549
Macabre Holes *	23	85	87	154	158	414	313	436	636	818	924	867	892	1363	1380
Pampas of Eternal Rain	22	39
The Bay of Idiots	21	50	100	278	190	233	367	742	536	X
The crossroad of the beast *	26	51	150	153	208	321	485	492	595	685	772	929	932	1102	1471	1387	1719	1963	2407	2384	2725	3296-3542 X	2875-3200
Facility of Idle Thoughts *	22	34	107	109	151	227	576	419	654	619	843	878	928	1072	1647	1295	1689	2114	1826
The Empty Facility *	20	41	140	143	188	378
Thoughts of Terror	21	78	55	167	146	341	361	452	644	810-865
Soulful tomb of heartache	27	62	88	155	181	364	274	478	626	760- 830
The Bad Stream *	28	43	173	129	233	238	582	557	576	810	891
Marina of corpses	26	32	148	129	183	283	412	550	564	652	808
Crimson Colosseums	22	33	133	113	236	267	455	374	638	719	746	988	1202	1261
Yellow Ignorance *	23	45	72	187	178	330	435	597	607	648	873	991	1072	1188	1229	1553	- (5 left alive)	X
Passed chasm of the beast *	22	62	150	129	209	228	451	470	548	632	749	828	1084	1290	1290	1658	2027	1654	2030
Graveyard of losers	24	38	215-280
Macabre tomb	25	24	62	170	180	229	410	473	563	X
Terrible Moors of 1000 Deaths	28	33	91	160	180-200 X
Tormented hamlet	26	76	62
The forests of beasts	25	73+5	73+9	100+10	196+12	358+13
Unbalanced Cove of Thirst *	29	80	64	170	217	368	322	428	608	836	669	836	1197	1015	1352	1788	1590	2084	2227	2284	2542
Mass of Hell *	24	42	75	103	309	245	375	408	712	764	752	1049	974	1362	X
Promenades of Animals *	20	52	162	119	222	217	517	407	735	597	815	781	960	1356	1221	1540	1771	1767	2378	2590	3004	3075-3400 X
The distressed circles	28	47	98	148	213	377	327	392	574	570	868
The Morbid Mesa *	23	44	63	174	234	276	458	539	546	686	949	864	1020-1310	X
Pathetic Dunes of the Raven King*	22	51	84	113	295	244	384	402	611	817	660	1038	1023	1083	1116	1419	1642	1997-2169	1925-2075
Strange dregs of flesh*	24	39	124	129	207	249	436	357	502	817	1034	1008	961	1096	1829	1449	1675	2038	1934	2566	2915 X
Beastly corridor of new hope*	22	40-65
Flaky Chasm of Hunger	26	53	91-97
The inflexible barracks*	21	42	58	173	191	283	493	534	628